According to the latest Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook from the US Department of Agriculture’s Economic Research Service, the low December production lowered the 2016 fourth quarter estimate by 25 million pounds.
But recent strong hatchery data and the apparent recovery in bird weights during the fourth quarter slightly increased the predictions for production in the first quarter of 2017.
Expectations for 2016 exports have also been lowered 40 million pounds as exports in November were lower than expected. But the export forecast this year is unchanged.
Reports said that the US may get a boost in export demand from markets like South Africa and the Philippines, but it is not clear up to what extent. Both South Africa and the Philippines have imposed poultry bans on several countries.
There is also uncertainty on the effect of avian influenza outbreaks to the export demand in some European and Asian countries.